DrunkenMage
Intoxicated Arch-Mage
Very valid points.
1) I was talking about riften so she must be in jail. Thanks for heads up.
2) the original question I wanted to answer was when Rikki said the Empire is the only thing keeping the Thalmor out of Skyrim. Which I believe is no ,since if the Aldmeri are not going to have a large scale invasion of Skyrim how come the Stormcloaks can't handle a few soldiers? The Thalmor want the empire dead not Skyrim they would probably leave Skyrim alone if they left the Empire. They left Hammerfell,black marsh, and morrowind alone.
3) you are right in saying that the Empire could wait if there is a war between the stormcloaks and Thalmor, but why wait when you can attack the Thalmor when they are distracted. I wouldn't attack Skyrim that is being a sore loser haha.
In the end I'm 50/50 on stormcloak and Empire, but in he end I think because of the Mede leadership the Empire will lose both Skyrim and Highrock for the next game.
They're keeping the 'Dominion out of Skyrim' The Imperial Army is tied down on the Aldmeri Border, so the Dominion is being kept out of Skyrim. The Thalmor are the political body, you have Thalmor Agents, Justiciars etc. The Thalmor in skyrim maintain a small embassy. They invaded Hammerfell during the Great War, they fought against Hammerfell for five years after the WGC was signed? I wouldn't call that leaving them alone. Black Marsh and Morrowind wouldn't make much sense, the Aldmeri Dominion seek Elven superiority over man, invading black marsh would simply be a waste of resources and Morrowind is already crippled.
War between the Dominion and Skyrim? If they're going by sea then it would fail, if they're going by land it would mean they've destroyed most of the Imperial Army, since the Imperial Army is on their border and they would need to cross Cryodiil to get to Skyrim. Though the Empire invading Elsweyr and Valenwood would be a little harder than you would think. Would take many years and if Cyrodiil is cut off from any reinforcements from High Rock and the Legions that were in Skyrim it wouldn't go very well.