pidgeoneyepete
Member
If the Empire wins, they have a severely weakened fighting force that will need to be stretched out over several provinces.
If the Stormcloaks win, and the Thalmor invade Skyrim, they're going up against a Stormcloak army highly experienced in guerrilla warfare, with far superior knowledge of the geography of Skyrim, and they're fighting for themselves, and not for some far off Emperor.
Finally, and most importantly, the Stormcloaks only have to defend Skyrim, not defeat the Thalmor. If the Thalmor did invade, the Stormcloaks hit and run tactics will simply make it in the best interests of the Thalmor to eventually withdraw. This exact scenario of a large, advanced invading army eventually being forced to withdraw through the tactics of the defenders has played out countless times through history.
Plus if the Thalmor were smart, they'd be focusing their attention on Cyrodiil, and not Skyrim, at that point.
As for what would happen over time in a Stormcloak victory, I'll leave that to better storytellers. Maybe the the whole dragon thing gets the Nords back to their hard-shouting roots. An army that has even a handful of people who know a shout or two would be pretty badass. Or maybe High Rock, now being cut of from Cyrodiil, makes an alliance with the Skyrim, who knows.
EDIT: It's also worth pointing out that all the lands the Thalmor currently control, they got through overthrowing governments and deception, not through fighting for them.
The lands that were taken by their army eventually were given back. Not a very good track record. How can they now expect to conquer, and then hold onto, a land inhabited by trained rebels?
Sure the Empires force will be weakened, but then again so with the Stormcloaks, do you think they won't take casualties in the war against the Empire? And all the Empire had to do was keep the Thalmor at bay defending Cyrodiil and they still lost what make you think the Nords will be any more successful. Also hit and run tactics are harder to pull off when your enemy has magic that can detect when you get near, you can only ambush someone if they don't know you are there.
But what I think will be the major downfall of the nords is Ulfric himself. His treatment of non nords will be his undoing as noone wants to ally themselves with someone who doesn't respect them. Ulfric doesn't like anyone unless they are a Nord, the only reason he even allows a non Nord character to hang around is cause he is the dragonborn. My argonian is the ONLY argonian even allowed within the city walls of Windhelm same with my Khajiit.